Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000149 0.000164 0.000182 0.000201 0.000223 0.000247 0.000275
2025-08-24 0.000117 0.000140 0.000166 0.000198 0.000238 0.000285 0.000345
2025-08-31 0.000096 0.000121 0.000151 0.000191 0.000244 0.000310 0.000401
2025-09-07 0.000084 0.000111 0.000145 0.000192 0.000256 0.000343 0.000469
2025-09-14 0.000077 0.000104 0.000141 0.000195 0.000273 0.000381 0.000548
2025-09-21 0.000068 0.000096 0.000134 0.000192 0.000278 0.000404 0.000606
2025-09-28 0.000060 0.000087 0.000125 0.000184 0.000276 0.000415 0.000648
2025-10-05 0.000056 0.000083 0.000123 0.000187 0.000289 0.000450 0.000730
2025-10-12 0.000054 0.000081 0.000122 0.000191 0.000305 0.000491 0.000828
2025-10-19 0.000049 0.000076 0.000118 0.000188 0.000309 0.000512 0.000894
2025-10-26 0.000047 0.000074 0.000116 0.000191 0.000322 0.000550 0.000993
2025-11-02 0.000043 0.000070 0.000112 0.000189 0.000326 0.000572 0.001066
2025-11-09 0.000041 0.000066 0.000109 0.000188 0.000333 0.000601 0.001160
2025-11-16 0.000037 0.000063 0.000105 0.000185 0.000336 0.000625 0.001247
2025-11-23 0.000034 0.000058 0.000099 0.000179 0.000333 0.000635 0.001307
2025-11-30 0.000032 0.000056 0.000097 0.000179 0.000342 0.000670 0.001428
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000055 0.000097 0.000182 0.000357 0.000720 0.001587
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000052 0.000093 0.000179 0.000358 0.000741 0.001683
2025-12-21 0.000027 0.000048 0.000088 0.000172 0.000352 0.000743 0.001735
2025-12-28 0.000026 0.000047 0.000088 0.000174 0.000365 0.000791 0.001907
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000046 0.000088 0.000178 0.000382 0.000851 0.002121
2026-01-11 0.000023 0.000044 0.000085 0.000176 0.000384 0.000876 0.002244
2026-01-18 0.000023 0.000043 0.000085 0.000178 0.000398 0.000930 0.002458